{"id":3946,"date":"2024-12-30T17:39:52","date_gmt":"2024-12-30T17:39:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/?p=3946"},"modified":"2024-12-30T17:39:52","modified_gmt":"2024-12-30T17:39:52","slug":"population-collapse-is-western-human-extinction-near","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/?p=3946","title":{"rendered":"Population Collapse: Is (Western) Human Extinction Near?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Population Collapse: Is (Western) Human Extinction Near?<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>by<a href=\"https:\/\/thenewamerican.com\/author\/selwyn-duke\/\"> Selwyn Duke<\/a> December 28, 2024 ( December 28, 2024 )<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thenewamerican.com\/assets\/sites\/2\/_img\/412924\/Ghost-town-12.28.24-Getty-157186156-1080x720.jpg\" alt=\"Population Collapse: Is (Western) Human Extinction Near?\" title=\"Population Collapse: Is (Western) Human Extinction Near?\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">domin_domin\/iStock\/Getty Images Plus<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Article audio sponsored by <a href=\"https:\/\/jbs.org\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>The John Birch Society<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>https:\/\/trinitymedia.ai\/player\/trinity-player.php?pageURL=https%3A%2F%2Fthenewamerican.com%2Fus%2Fculture%2Fpopulation-collapse-is-western-human-extinction-near%2F&#038;readContentType=URL&#038;readContentConfig=%7B%22url%22%3A%22https%3A%2F%2Fthenewamerican.com%2Fwp-content%2Ftts%2Ftna_412920.html%22%2C%22dataType%22%3A%22html%22%7D&#038;unitId=2900010979&#038;userId=72cf72d1-6263-49d1-9652-cc928a6282a8&#038;isLegacyBrowser=false&#038;isPartitioningSupport=1&#038;version=20241230_a06cac7f5f0f5dd1a272229e3fc351b678f1266f&#038;useBunnyCDN=0&#038;themeId=477&#038;unitType=tts-player&#038;integrationType=web<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dating back to the Middle Ages, the town of Semestene in Sardinia, Italy, has quite a history \u2014 one that could come to an end within a decade. With a population that has dwindled rapidly in recent years, 54 of its 126 residents are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citypopulation.de\/en\/italy\/sardegna\/sassari\/090066__semestene\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">aged 65 or over<\/a>. The town has just <em>four<\/em> children under 10 years old remaining. And its last birth, a 2023 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/news\/world\/1829215\/italy-low-birth-rates-sardinia-oristano\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">report held<\/a>, was eight years earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Welcome to Ghost Town Italy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sound like exaggeration? Well, consider that the U.S. has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.travelandleisure.com\/ghost-towns-in-the-us-6747202\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">approximately<\/a> 3,800 ghost towns, with New Mexico <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newmexico.org\/places-to-visit\/ghost-towns\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">having about<\/a> 400 alone. Italy is about the size of that state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And it has at least <em>6,000<\/em> ghost towns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAt least,\u201d that is, because <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/italy-ghost-towns-emigration\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">that estimate<\/a> was made in 2015 \u2014 and informed that another 15,000 localities were \u201con the brink.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One could in fact wonder if this is the emptiest a European nation\u2019s towns have been since the medieval black plague wiped out one-quarter to one-half of the continent\u2019s population. The problem now is another plague, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The plague of low fertility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why worry about this? I mean, with pasta and pizza and the like having spread throughout the world, we needn\u2019t worry about losing our favorite <em>buonissima<\/em>(!) Italian fare. What\u2019s more, there are in excess of eight billion people on the planet. So shouldn\u2019t we cheer this <em>bambini<\/em> bust? Perhaps not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-not-just-italy-getting-the-demographic-boot\">Not Just Italy Getting the Demographic Boot<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>First, it\u2019s ironic that a birthplace of Western civilization now leads in its decline because of a lack of births. But that is reality: Italy is merely representative of Western European countries in general. And front and center warning about this has been billionaire visionary Elon Musk. Just consider comments he made \u2014 and those of a popular X user \u2014 not long ago (tweet with video below).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?c<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That user, a German entrepreneur named Ole Lehmann, also posted some other striking information (below). For one thing, he points out that by \u201c2100, Europe will have lost 117 million [more] people.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, note (below) how much the number of births has declined in Europe in just one year (2022-23.) The only European nation on the list that registered an increase is Norway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>50px<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course, this wouldn\u2019t be too consequential if the decline occurred within the context of still robust birth rates. In reality, however, many of the world\u2019s fertility rates \u2014 and Western peoples\u2019 in particular \u2014 have long been strikingly low. (Map-style statistics follow. Note: 2.1 children per woman is replacement level.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&amp;width=550px<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-poof-goes-the-west\">\u201cPoof!\u201d Goes the West?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>This may not matter much to the hate-the-West-first crowd \u2014 or those believing that, somehow, Western ideals will be perpetuated by non-Western peoples. But those who know what a world without the West really means for humanity will be alarmed. (Recommended reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/thenewamerican.com\/print\/a-world-without-the-west\/\">my 2023 essay<\/a> \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.selwynduke.com\/2023\/02\/cover-story-a-world-without-the-west.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">A World Without the West<\/a>.\u201d) Also troubled may be those who understand that, as commentator Mark Steyn put it, \u201cThe future belongs to those who show up for it.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Westerners are showing up less than most other peoples, too. And what this means exactly was explained by Marko Jukic, a senior analyst at Bismarck Analysis. \u201cA fertility rate below 1.6 means 50% less new people after three generations, say 100 years. Below 1.2 means an 80% drop,\u201d <em>Newsweek<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/elon-musk-issues-birth-rate-warning-mass-extinction-1963081\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">quoted him as stating<\/a> in October. \u201cThe U.S. is at 1.64. China, Japan, Poland, Spain all below 1.2. South Korea is at 0.7\u201496% drop. Mass extinction numbers.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oh, Italy is at 1.2 as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-happens-in-the-west-doesn-t-stay-in-the-west\">What Happens in the West Doesn\u2019t Stay in the West<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>All this said, declining fertility is a worldwide phenomenon. As HealthData.org <a href=\"https:\/\/www.healthdata.org\/news-events\/newsroom\/news-releases\/lancet-dramatic-declines-global-fertility-rates-set-transform\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">wrote<\/a> in March, quoting <em>The Lancet<\/em>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>By 2050, over three-quarters (155 of 204) of countries will not have high enough fertility rates to sustain population size over time; this will increase to 97% of countries (198 of 204) by 2100.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>While the zero-population-growth types and misanthropes will applaud, this, again, comes with some negative consequences. As Earth.com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/global-population-decline-predicted-what-earth-will-be-like-with-less-people\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">explained<\/a> last Wednesday:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>When fewer babies are born, the workforce thins out in a matter of decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Economic systems depend on a steady stream of workers, consumers, and taxpayers. If countries produce fewer citizens, they may struggle to maintain productivity and keep growth on track.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Economists worry that, as population structures skew towards older groups, tax bases might shrink, and this could make it harder to pay for services that keep society running smoothly.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>As an example, consider again good ol\u2019 (and old) Italy. As Maria Rita Testa, a professor of demography at Luiss University in Rome, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2023\/05\/17\/europe\/italy-record-low-birth-rate-intl-cmd\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">told<\/a> CNN last year:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>\u201cIn our pension system, which is a pay-as-you-go system, where the current workers pay for the pension benefits of the current retired people, this will create a big challenge and burden.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Put differently, a highly fecund civilization is like a pyramid. There\u2019s a wide pool of young people at the bottom and a much smaller group of elderly near the tip. With baby-bust demographic collapse, however, this pyramid flips upside-down. A relatively small group of young people at that ground-level \u201ctip\u201d then support a larger group of elderly up top.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-remedies\">Remedies?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>The one factor that <em>may<\/em> change this equation at least somewhat, if not profoundly, is the increasing prevalence of artificial intelligence and robotics. As this technology replaces workers, it <em>may<\/em> end up supporting the elderly (and others). But this is, of course, uncharted economic and social territory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, we perhaps shouldn\u2019t bet that our future AI automatons will preserve Western culture. Given this, it\u2019s wise to consider the findings and prescriptions of what\u2019s perhaps the best documentary on the baby-bust subject: 2008\u2019s <em>Demographic Winter <\/em>(below).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-embed-handler wp-block-embed-embed-handler\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\nhttps:\/\/youtube.com\/watch?v=lZeyYIsGdAA%3Ffeature%3Doembed\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>What, though, if we can\u2019t resurrect the be-fruitful-and-multiply spirit? Well, then know that population collapse does have at least one bright side. Remember Sardinia, that increasingly child-free Italian isle? Starving for residents, a local government there will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/11\/19\/travel\/italian-village-ollolai-wants-americans-election-one-dollar-homes\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">sell you a villa<\/a> for just a bit more than <em>one dollar<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So take the trip and \u201c<em>Buon appetito<\/em>!\u201d Just be sure, <em>amico<\/em>, that you don\u2019t mind eating alone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Category<a href=\"https:\/\/thenewamerican.com\/us\/culture\/\">Culture<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Population Collapse: Is (Western) Human Extinction Near? by Selwyn Duke December 28, 2024 ( December 28, 2024 ) Article audio sponsored by The John Birch Society https:\/\/trinitymedia.ai\/player\/trinity-player.php?pageURL=https%3A%2F%2Fthenewamerican.com%2Fus%2Fculture%2Fpopulation-collapse-is-western-human-extinction-near%2F&#038;readContentType=URL&#038;readContentConfig=%7B%22url%22%3A%22https%3A%2F%2Fthenewamerican.com%2Fwp-content%2Ftts%2Ftna_412920.html%22%2C%22dataType%22%3A%22html%22%7D&#038;unitId=2900010979&#038;userId=72cf72d1-6263-49d1-9652-cc928a6282a8&#038;isLegacyBrowser=false&#038;isPartitioningSupport=1&#038;version=20241230_a06cac7f5f0f5dd1a272229e3fc351b678f1266f&#038;useBunnyCDN=0&#038;themeId=477&#038;unitType=tts-player&#038;integrationType=web Dating back to the Middle Ages, the town of Semestene in Sardinia, Italy, has quite a history \u2014 one that could come to an end within a decade. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2812,2813],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3946"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3946"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3946\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3948,"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3946\/revisions\/3948"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3946"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3946"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canadafirst.nfshost.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3946"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}